0x7456f22Bd5BE92973e9F3A6B64E1495fC8e8381E-1768454337228
0x7456f22bd5be92973e9f3a6b64e1495fc8e8381e
- Realised P&L
- $-205.24
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $3.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.900 | 0.961 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.870 | 0.865 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Relay FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.950 | 0.595 | $0.63 | −$0.37 |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.890 | 0.445 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.790 | 0.165 | $0.21 | −$0.79 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$95.42 |
| USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.987 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? · No | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$135.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.00at 0.500Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $175 on February 9?
- +$18.51at 0.656Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?
- +$10.41at 0.906Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
- +$7.40at 0.730Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?
- +$7.04at 0.934Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 01:20 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October? | BUY | 0.9349999991 | $15.00 |
| 09-20 08:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.6699999974 | $95.42 |
| 09-16 13:26 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | SELL | 0.82 | $98.86 |
| 09-03 23:06 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.64 | $77.16 |
| 08-26 13:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8969999898 | $71.00 |
| 08-25 03:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | SELL | 0.555 | $73.92 |
| 08-21 23:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.7349999991 | $97.90 |
| 08-14 23:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9199999959 | $135.32 |
| 07-31 22:11 | Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.971 | $1.01 |
| 07-16 05:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 16? | BUY | 0.9178118812 | $92.70 |
| 07-02 08:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $100.00 |
| 06-08 23:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9 | $100.00 |
| 06-08 23:39 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? | SELL | 0.998 | $2.19 |
| 06-08 23:39 | Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7 | $2.15 |
| 05-15 15:11 | Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Verso Time vs Magic (BO3) - MLBB Continental Championships Regular Season | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |