9fbhfdc
0x7452bc6b2e96199746f10809811d65ed3d92aa54
- Realised P&L
- $134.01
- Volume
- $23.4k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $30.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 8? · No | 0.994 | 0.998 | $30.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.969 | 0.850 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23? · No | 0.974 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$109.88at 0.590Sharks vs. Flames
- +$36.60at 0.070Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
- +$9.16at 0.850Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4?
- +$5.88at 0.066Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$5.20at 0.100Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 11:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.9936638088 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 07:00 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $30.00 |
| 09-08 02:06 | Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on September 7? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.20 |
| 08-19 21:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23? | SELL | 0.219 | $9.83 |
| 08-18 00:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.973999998 | $47.70 |
| 08-16 12:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $47.60 |
| 08-05 01:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.9739999999 | $46.50 |
| 08-03 06:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4? | BUY | 0.7899999961 | $36.88 |
| 08-02 02:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.988999994 | $37.00 |
| 07-30 01:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.9739999996 | $36.00 |
| 07-29 02:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.9829999999 | $35.00 |
| 07-28 02:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 28? | BUY | 0.996 | $35.50 |
| 07-27 04:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 27? | BUY | 0.995 | $35.20 |
| 07-26 03:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.9869999998 | $34.50 |
| 07-25 01:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 25? | BUY | 0.9879999883 | $34.20 |