Constantine0403
0x744e04e956b332206f0edba291b0a43e3be2aa81
- Realised P&L
- $0.24
- Volume
- $287.79
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $61.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026? · No | 0.810 | 0.810 | $30.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Team WE win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.085 | $10.17 | +$5.17 |
| Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.245 | $9.80 | −$0.20 |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage · LGD Gaming | 0.480 | 0.475 | $4.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.190 | 0.185 | $2.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.085 | $1.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.055 | $1.83 | −$0.17 |
| LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner · Team WE | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.29at 0.472LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 17:39 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999957 | $30.00 |
| 10-05 17:34 | LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 17:18 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.0899999969 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 17:09 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 17:08 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $3.00 |
| 10-05 16:58 | Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 12:03 | LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.469999906 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 11:43 | LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 11:40 | Will Team WE win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026? | BUY | 0.0415330966 | $5.00 |