goalpost
0x744aa72759e883535fbe577ecd1e05fe3aa00ea8
- Realised P&L
- $-3.1k
- Volume
- $468.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,880
- Open portfolio
- $289.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,880
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 20? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.982 | $216.86 | +$2.76 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 20? · No | 0.965 | 0.996 | $72.33 | +$2.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$95.04at 0.667Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
- +$77.87at 0.961Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?
- +$70.94at 0.662Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
- +$70.38at 0.560Ethereum Up or Down - February 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
- +$63.15at 0.888Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 10:04 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.98 | $63.70 |
| 10-20 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.977 | $7.82 |
| 10-20 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.977 | $29.31 |
| 10-20 10:01 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.977 | $34.20 |
| 10-20 09:50 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.97 | $25.39 |
| 10-20 09:33 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.92 | $11.50 |
| 10-20 07:07 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.988 | $60.88 |
| 10-20 06:58 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.98 |
| 10-20 06:46 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 10-19 10:37 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.99 | $94.55 |
| 10-19 09:37 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.97 | $24.43 |
| 10-19 08:35 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 10-18 09:35 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.96 | $7.68 |
| 10-18 09:03 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.95 | $24.70 |
| 10-18 09:03 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.93 |