TariqAlM
0x7449c7d7c6326182fdaa9ca13799662aa445be3c
- Realised P&L
- $-13.4k
- Volume
- $87.3k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $625.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.104 | 0.038 | $295.37 | −$504.02 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.029 | $185.61 | −$418.80 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.025 | $96.10 | −$231.69 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.049 | $48.50 | −$81.50 |
| Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.59 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.955 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.7k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$761.93at 0.935US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
- +$0.00at 0.880US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$-1.1kat 0.320Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 13:06 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9552263902 | $10.2k |
| 06-10 13:05 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.951 | $1.5k |
| 05-28 15:35 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28? | BUY | 0.9349948809 | $11.0k |
| 05-28 15:34 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $10.9k |
| 05-22 22:45 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $10.9k |
| 05-01 06:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $126.00 |
| 05-01 06:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.03 |
| 05-01 06:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $381.40 |
| 05-01 06:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $420.53 |
| 05-01 05:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $130.00 |
| 05-01 05:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $201.76 |
| 05-01 05:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $223.02 |
| 05-01 05:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0999915666 | $324.87 |
| 05-01 05:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $54.00 |
| 03-21 01:36 | Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.1957991282 | $1.8k |