lieved
0x743ec55e710f775aaba6fa14da15dcab44532b50
- Realised P&L
- $-473.66
- Volume
- $14.8k
- Markets traded
- 137
- Open portfolio
- $58.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded137
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.23at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
- +$62.47at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
- +$55.91at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
- +$52.28at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
- +$49.80at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.84 |
| 10-10 06:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.60 |
| 10-10 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 11? | SELL | 0.55 | $2.78 |
| 10-10 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.53 | $5.83 |
| 10-10 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 10-10 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.38 | $4.94 |
| 10-10 00:09 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.44 | $1.07 |
| 10-10 00:09 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.39 | $3.58 |
| 10-10 00:09 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 10-10 00:09 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.993502 | $19.87 |
| 10-09 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.49 | $0.96 |
| 10-09 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.5 | $15.11 |
| 10-09 15:59 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.38 | $0.67 |
| 10-09 15:40 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.57 | $6.60 |
| 10-09 15:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.244375 | $3.91 |