PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lieved

0x743ec55e710f775aaba6fa14da15dcab44532b50

Realised P&L
$-473.66
Volume
$14.8k
Markets traded
137
Open portfolio
$58.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded137
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 06:09Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 11?SELL0.28$0.84
10-10 06:09Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 11?SELL0.28$1.60
10-10 06:09Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 11?SELL0.55$2.78
10-10 06:09Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on October 11?SELL0.53$5.83
10-10 06:09Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 11?SELL0.63$12.60
10-10 00:11Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 10?SELL0.38$4.94
10-10 00:09Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 10?SELL0.44$1.07
10-10 00:09Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 11?SELL0.39$3.58
10-10 00:09Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 10?SELL0.39$3.90
10-10 00:09Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 10?SELL0.993502$19.87
10-09 16:10Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 10?SELL0.49$0.96
10-09 16:10Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 10?SELL0.5$15.11
10-09 15:59Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 11?SELL0.38$0.67
10-09 15:40Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 11?SELL0.57$6.60
10-09 15:31Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 10?SELL0.244375$3.91