Fredster1
0x743d305bf9237d381673f514d30162fde2c3d263
- Realised P&L
- $-476.95
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.285 | $1.2k | +$741.49 |
| Will the Green Party (MP) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or KD? · MP | 0.736 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M? · SD | 0.776 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.60at 0.894Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or C?
- +$-2.24at 0.227Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 18:33 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0981245406 | $387.17 |
| 09-13 16:42 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M? | BUY | 0.7765974799 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 14:17 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? | SELL | 0.2172286594 | $29.62 |
| 09-12 10:59 | Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.3399999995 | $40.00 |
| 09-12 10:58 | Will the Green Party (MP) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 10:57 | Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 10:55 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or C? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 10:53 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? | BUY | 0.219999999 | $30.00 |
| 09-12 10:52 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $200.00 |
| 09-12 10:50 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or KD? | BUY | 0.7363183929 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 10:49 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 10:48 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.2799999999 | $110.00 |