feng88888
0x74397e50911bc09eb6d93e5b7362fa9b5fa3b8ef
- Realised P&L
- $651.61
- Volume
- $353.0k
- Markets traded
- 826
- Open portfolio
- $122.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded826
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 22? · No | 0.922 | 0.975 | $101.40 | +$5.51 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.990 | $20.79 | +$0.42 |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs · Team Yandex | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$212.33at 0.818Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 4?
- +$172.27at 0.931Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?
- +$167.13at 0.760Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
- +$131.34at 0.629Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 6?
- +$117.91at 0.494Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 03:41 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.9289130435 | $42.73 |
| 09-21 03:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $246.45 |
| 09-21 01:14 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.978 | $59.17 |
| 09-21 01:14 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.9777018561 | $84.28 |
| 09-21 00:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.92 | $44.16 |
| 09-20 21:34 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.97 | $20.37 |
| 09-18 19:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $129.97 |
| 09-18 15:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.82 | $106.68 |
| 09-17 20:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9570864118 | $29.79 |
| 09-17 20:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $145.09 |
| 09-17 14:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $51.29 |
| 09-17 14:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $112.89 |
| 09-16 21:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 09-16 21:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9 | $52.20 |
| 09-16 21:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.91 | $25.48 |