DegeneratedGambler-088
0x7434c53e95811333780659aca98bc15b8c95e58b
- Realised P&L
- $-215.96
- Volume
- $72.9k
- Markets traded
- 171
- Open portfolio
- $63.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded171
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$134.79at 0.791Will MrBeast's next video get between 50–55 million views on day 1?
- +$54.18at 0.630Will 'Thunderbolts' gross more than $82m on opening weekend?
- +$51.99at 0.976Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$49.23at 0.310Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?
- +$47.08at 0.880Will 'Wicked' gross between $105-115m opening weekend?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 15:48 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $356 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $56.70 |
| 10-17 11:17 | LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 09:35 | LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.0149999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 09:34 | Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) | BUY | 0.6799999969 | $35.00 |
| 10-15 13:02 | LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.77 | $77.00 |
| 10-14 12:02 | LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 11:24 | LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 10-13 14:03 | LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 13:53 | LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 13:13 | LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.6299999685 | $3.00 |
| 10-12 14:18 | LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 13:46 | LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 13:43 | LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 13:37 | LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 13:34 | LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |