Babe
0x742dda913cd29c49c3db844f608e0510ef2e100e
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $301.9k
- Markets traded
- 195
- Open portfolio
- $88.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded195
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 19? · No | 0.970 | 0.990 | $60.71 | +$1.20 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 24? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.092 | $10.50 | +$2.77 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.057 | $8.60 | +$4.12 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 23? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.070 | $8.42 | +$4.83 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 18? · No | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$884.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.032Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?
- +$1.3kat 0.800Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 25?
- +$974.86at 0.562Bitcoin Up or Down on August 31?
- +$890.04at 0.738Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 10?
- +$827.54at 0.340Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 13:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.055 | $1.30 |
| 09-18 13:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.028 | $0.62 |
| 09-17 02:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.76 |
| 09-12 22:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.73 | $55.48 |
| 09-12 17:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.73 | $54.75 |
| 09-12 13:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.7 | $56.20 |
| 09-12 10:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.963 | $4.81 |
| 09-12 07:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.967 | $14.50 |
| 09-12 07:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.9704091948 | $76.41 |
| 09-11 19:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? | SELL | 0.81 | $406.00 |
| 09-11 19:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? | SELL | 0.79 | $9.48 |
| 09-11 19:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? | SELL | 0.7917337032 | $22.83 |
| 09-11 19:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? | SELL | 0.7825878594 | $244.95 |
| 09-11 18:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.66 | $12.67 |
| 09-11 18:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |