beckymurillo
0x742cfa27780814b984f8ca2870f2aba8109d2b19
- Realised P&L
- $3.68
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $31.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 23? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.475 | $27.42 | +$6.64 |
| Will Chris Thomas be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.210 | $4.32 | −$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.20at 0.513Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 15?
- +$26.19at 0.434Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on May 30?
- +$20.79at 0.542Raiders vs. Texans
- +$15.92at 0.412Cowboys vs. Giants
- +$14.61at 0.651Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 12:51 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.3599999951 | $20.78 |
| 09-18 13:27 | Will Chris Thomas be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? | BUY | 0.2199999903 | $4.53 |
| 09-18 13:25 | Blackhawks vs. Wild | BUY | 0.5499999866 | $12.35 |
| 09-16 15:23 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.2128475551 | $4.44 |
| 09-13 20:46 | San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.5599999243 | $2.96 |
| 09-13 20:43 | Cowboys vs. Giants | BUY | 0.4 | $10.83 |
| 09-09 17:42 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.08 |
| 09-09 17:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 10? | BUY | 0.2818309836 | $11.73 |
| 09-05 17:10 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 6? | BUY | 0.64 | $26.84 |
| 09-02 13:49 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 3? | BUY | 0.6599999984 | $24.38 |
| 08-31 01:33 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 1? | BUY | 0.18999993 | $2.01 |
| 08-27 19:31 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.2599999384 | $2.70 |
| 08-26 01:39 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 27? | BUY | 0.539999996 | $26.72 |
| 08-23 16:40 | Washington Mystics vs. Portland Fire | BUY | 0.6599999942 | $16.04 |
| 08-21 14:39 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 22? | BUY | 0.2952496873 | $4.27 |