Mr-Beest
0x74263916cc15049f270d56b838b8938a9a837b6d
- Realised P&L
- $3.9k
- Volume
- $318.1k
- Markets traded
- 456
- Open portfolio
- $4.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded456
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? · No | 0.860 | 0.815 | $3.9k | −$214.48 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? · No | 0.696 | 0.725 | $533.12 | +$21.39 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.280 | $288.93 | +$51.59 |
| Will MrBeast hit 521 million subscribers by October 31? · Yes | 0.917 | 0.941 | $102.69 | +$2.60 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.803 | $53.05 | +$48.50 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.255 | $25.65 | +$3.52 |
| Will MrBeast hit 522 million subscribers by October 31? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.750 | $15.00 | +$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.064Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
- +$1.1kat 0.139Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
- +$703.53at 0.320Will "House Tour" get between 13 and 14 million views in the first week?
- +$600.80at 0.143Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?
- +$317.50at 0.688Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 6 and 8 million views on day 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 21:12 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.85 | $439.29 |
| 09-30 19:13 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.87 | $2.7k |
| 09-30 19:10 | Will MrBeast hit 521 million subscribers by October 31? | SELL | 0.992 | $444.42 |
| 09-30 19:09 | Will MrBeast hit 521 million subscribers by October 31? | BUY | 0.9789974483 | $38.37 |
| 09-30 18:58 | Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $44.50 |
| 09-30 15:12 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 27.5 and 28.25 million views on day 4? | SELL | 0.0418216433 | $2.09 |
| 09-30 15:08 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26.75 and 27.5 million views on day 4? | SELL | 0.1161995146 | $23.94 |
| 09-30 14:53 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26.75 and 27.5 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.19 | $39.14 |
| 09-30 14:52 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 27.5 and 28.25 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.41 | $20.46 |
| 09-30 14:33 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 27.5 and 28.25 million views on day 4? | SELL | 0.0758707938 | $8.73 |
| 09-30 12:22 | Will MrBeast hit 521 million subscribers by October 31? | BUY | 0.9119305019 | $472.38 |
| 09-30 04:40 | Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.71 | $23.66 |
| 09-30 04:08 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 27.5 and 28.25 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.3229411765 | $27.45 |
| 09-30 04:00 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 27.5 and 28.25 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.29 | $8.70 |
| 09-30 02:43 | Will MrBeast hit 522 million subscribers by October 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |