0x74222405f2917784815c1e1026c72ebfc352f5ab
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $6.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.255 | $4.33 | +$0.42 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner · Natus Vincere | 0.490 | 0.485 | $1.98 | −$0.02 |
| Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs · Nemiga | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Down | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.72at 0.428Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner
- +$-0.34at 0.661Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4PM ET
- +$-0.94at 0.532Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 20:05 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.2299999965 | $3.90 |
| 10-31 20:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4PM ET | SELL | 0.65 | $4.19 |
| 10-31 20:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.6199999907 | $4.00 |
| 10-31 19:58 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | SELL | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 10-31 16:11 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.4899999584 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 16:11 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 16:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 15:54 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | SELL | 0.22 | $4.78 |
| 10-31 15:48 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.229999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 10:49 | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 10-31 10:45 | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |