0x741F55e6eF92D07dc9A80Ad4827D4d51B1aDAc94-1777317303943
0x741f55e6ef92d07dc9a80ad4827d4d51b1adac94
- Realised P&L
- $71.49
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $14.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? · Yes | 0.146 | 0.145 | $14.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.161 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.65 |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.254 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$153.30at 0.167Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-4.20at 0.278Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 18:16 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? | BUY | 0.1460090841 | $15.00 |
| 06-13 11:12 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0489999958 | $10.65 |
| 06-13 11:12 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $6.30 |
| 06-10 12:00 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1089999942 | $15.00 |
| 06-10 11:59 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1609999939 | $20.00 |
| 06-10 11:58 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1629999961 | $30.00 |
| 05-16 15:36 | Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.2539999858 | $10.00 |
| 05-16 15:36 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 04-28 18:28 | Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit? | BUY | 0.0598467867 | $10.00 |
| 04-27 19:20 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |