PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x741F55e6eF92D07dc9A80Ad4827D4d51B1aDAc94-1777317303943

0x741f55e6ef92d07dc9a80ad4827d4d51b1adac94

Realised P&L
$71.49
Volume
$6.0k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$14.90

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? · Yes0.1460.145$14.90−$0.10
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00−$20.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$10.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00−$10.65
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.2540.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 18:16Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?BUY0.1460090841$15.00
06-13 11:12Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0489999958$10.65
06-13 11:12Starmer out by June 30, 2026?SELL0.17$6.30
06-10 12:00Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1089999942$15.00
06-10 11:59Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1609999939$20.00
06-10 11:58Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1629999961$30.00
05-16 15:36Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.2539999858$10.00
05-16 15:36Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
04-28 18:28Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit?BUY0.0598467867$10.00
04-27 19:20Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$10.00