jakesilo
0x741bef508fd9e9075e9b60f3cb9410a5a1ec3cbf
- Realised P&L
- $-199.17
- Volume
- $39.0k
- Markets traded
- 256
- Open portfolio
- $176.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded256
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.68at 0.239Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?
- +$59.41at 0.016Will exactly 60 U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by November 30?
- +$46.16at 0.550Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
- +$40.56at 0.270Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?
- +$36.67at 0.450Texans vs. Chargers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 02:22 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 02:20 | Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.018 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 10:57 | Broncos vs. 49ers | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $20.00 |
| 09-29 10:56 | Rams vs. Eagles | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $15.00 |
| 09-29 10:56 | Jaguars vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $20.00 |
| 09-29 10:55 | Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0169999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 10:55 | Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0229999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 10:54 | Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | BUY | 0.0559999996 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 10:54 | Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | BUY | 0.0450496328 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 21:19 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.0629999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 21:18 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.2299999975 | $15.00 |
| 09-23 21:16 | Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | BUY | 0.0617941347 | $20.00 |
| 09-23 21:15 | Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0230732624 | $20.00 |
| 09-23 21:14 | Raiders vs. Saints | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $15.00 |
| 09-23 21:13 | Jets vs. Lions | BUY | 0.2699999978 | $15.00 |