PolyBot

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Traders

0x74159cb868f8f8579bb2cd282ae93cbc57ebd23f

0x74159cb868f8f8579bb2cd282ae93cbc57ebd23f

Realised P&L
$9.70
Volume
$362.51
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$5.54

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 21 2026? · No0.7300.899$2.46+$0.46
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.5400.630$2.33+$0.33
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.2300.085$0.74$1.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 00:32Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.5399999568$2.00
09-21 03:36Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.7299997409$2.00
09-20 19:36Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.4599999034$2.00
09-20 10:44Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?BUY0.449999972$1.61
09-19 21:56Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.71$2.00
09-19 13:22Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.6699999163$2.00
09-19 05:15Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.2699999784$2.00
09-18 21:05Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.2299999782$2.00
09-18 07:43Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.7599999848$2.00
09-17 21:59Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.6099999116$2.00
09-17 13:58Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.77$2.00
09-17 05:17Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.3599999712$2.00
09-13 06:58Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.2099999895$2.00
09-11 20:10US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.7599999848$2.00
09-11 10:54Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?BUY0.6099999116$2.00