PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

spackx

0x741200b57cf68651bad2ae90b69cef8c441e97a3

Realised P&L
$-149.69
Volume
$18.9k
Markets traded
399
Open portfolio
$31.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded399
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1310.035$18.31−$51.37
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) · Portugal0.2500.255$10.20+$0.20
Exact Score: Denmark 0 - 3 Portugal? · Yes0.0430.042$2.08−$0.07
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0100.004$1.00−$1.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Up0.1500.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Up0.3800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$15.60
Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Belgium? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$1.20
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Sweden? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$4.20
South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 6.5 Corners · Over0.4400.000$0.00−$22.00
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$1.62
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · JD Gaming0.2200.000$0.00−$4.40
Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$3.70
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner · Hanwha Life Esports0.1000.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 15:55Exact Score: Denmark 0 - 3 Portugal?BUY0.043$2.15
09-30 15:55Spread: Portugal (-1.5)BUY0.25$10.00
09-28 16:45Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 France?BUY0.067$6.70
09-28 16:42Will Georgia vs. Ukraine end in a draw?BUY0.36$7.20
09-15 19:38Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.008$1.20
09-15 19:34Jude Bellingham: Anytime GoalscorerSELL0.1955102041$2.30
09-12 08:53Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETBUY0.16$5.00
09-12 08:27Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?SELL0.61$18.30
09-05 09:37LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.999$9.99
09-05 08:25LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.24$1.20
08-16 15:16Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)BUY0.33$33.00
08-16 12:12LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.15862$31.72
08-16 10:23LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.37$37.00
08-16 09:03LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.47$23.50
08-09 12:04LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.15$4.50