PolyBot

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Traders

lixiwo

0x74115cb2f3a1e6635bde716da3f8d4b3bcadf321

Realised P&L
$-4.90
Volume
$7.6k
Markets traded
92
Open portfolio
$14.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded92
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President by September 30? · No0.9990.999$12.39−$0.01
Harvard vs. Brown · Harvard0.8200.825$2.48+$0.01
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on December 31? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$1.20
Texans vs. Ravens · Ravens0.4900.000$0.00−$1.80
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 9? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.47
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$2.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 13:04Trump out as President by September 30?BUY0.9989999527$12.40
09-25 13:00Harvard vs. BrownBUY0.82$2.46
08-01 06:44Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.998$14.80
06-07 12:53Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8?BUY0.999$89.00
05-28 09:49Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?BUY0.9989999898$89.00
05-22 12:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?BUY0.998$89.00
05-22 12:25Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?BUY0.002$2.70
05-17 08:28Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C or higher on May 17?BUY0.9989999901$92.00
05-12 09:09Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 13?BUY0.999$92.00
05-07 08:08Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 8?BUY0.99899999$91.00
05-03 11:14Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?BUY0.999$91.00
04-26 03:07Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?BUY0.999$90.99
04-22 12:19Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 22?BUY0.999$90.99
04-17 11:26Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 17?BUY0.999$90.99
04-14 06:37Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?BUY0.999$90.99