Citinox
0x740962b2a6379909a2e38261616d5deaa3b737a8
- Realised P&L
- $-355.29
- Volume
- $55.0k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $662.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.015 | $201.28 | −$46.30 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.018 | $185.36 | −$64.63 |
| Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.007 | $179.54 | −$70.45 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.022 | $96.05 | −$153.95 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.355 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.39at 0.410Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
- +$6.56at 0.628Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
- +$6.11at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
- +$5.15at 0.660Will France win on 2026-06-16?
- +$4.62at 0.520Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 08:31 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3549999913 | $17.47 |
| 06-16 18:59 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 16:53 | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 16:53 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 16:53 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 16:52 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 16:52 | Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 16:52 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 16:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 04-26 12:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $4.65 |
| 04-26 12:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $0.86 |
| 04-26 12:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $0.91 |
| 04-26 11:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.409999991 | $9.15 |
| 04-26 11:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $0.87 |
| 04-26 11:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $0.89 |