0x740159EcEd2AAF9edcb7FAc8A0B31D18C0F847a5-1776860965793
0x740159eced2aaf9edcb7fac8a0b31d18c0f847a5
- Realised P&L
- $-7.5k
- Volume
- $780.4k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $79.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.002 | $79.79 | −$2.8k |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$509.00 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$508.98 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$508.92 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$508.68 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$508.99 |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$508.98 |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$356.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-186.03at 0.019Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-215.56at 0.008Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-441.81at 0.006Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 21:46 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.013 | $348.26 |
| 07-02 00:56 | Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $84.83 |
| 06-30 22:53 | Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.005 | $318.13 |
| 05-18 15:23 | Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.005 | $356.10 |
| 05-18 15:23 | Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.006 | $509.00 |
| 05-18 15:22 | Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.006 | $509.00 |
| 05-18 15:22 | Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.008 | $509.00 |
| 05-18 15:21 | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.01 | $509.00 |
| 05-18 15:21 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.011 | $509.00 |
| 05-18 15:21 | Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.011 | $509.00 |
| 05-18 15:20 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.012 | $508.71 |
| 05-18 15:20 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.016 | $509.00 |
| 05-18 15:19 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.019 | $509.00 |
| 05-04 20:22 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0484916432 | $100.00 |
| 05-04 20:06 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0436539693 | $1000.00 |