PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x740159EcEd2AAF9edcb7FAc8A0B31D18C0F847a5-1776860965793

0x740159eced2aaf9edcb7fac8a0b31d18c0f847a5

Realised P&L
$-7.5k
Volume
$780.4k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$79.79

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0540.002$79.79$2.8k
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$509.00
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$508.98
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00$100.00
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$508.92
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$508.68
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00$100.00
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$508.99
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$508.98
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$356.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-06 21:46Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.013$348.26
07-02 00:56Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.001$84.83
06-30 22:53Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.005$318.13
05-18 15:23Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.005$356.10
05-18 15:23Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.006$509.00
05-18 15:22Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.006$509.00
05-18 15:22Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.008$509.00
05-18 15:21Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.01$509.00
05-18 15:21Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.011$509.00
05-18 15:21Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.011$509.00
05-18 15:20Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.012$508.71
05-18 15:20Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.016$509.00
05-18 15:19Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.019$509.00
05-04 20:22Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0484916432$100.00
05-04 20:06Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0436539693$1000.00