zephyrblue
0x73ee0fc6ac4bd146448c981d26fe79c59192336b
- Realised P&L
- $134.27
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $115.64
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.860 | 0.968 | $56.25 | +$6.25 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No | 0.812 | 0.858 | $31.70 | +$1.70 |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.600 | $27.69 | −$2.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.97at 0.290Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
- +$29.17at 0.735Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$13.66at 0.787Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?
- +$11.67at 0.720Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
- +$10.83at 0.480Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 23:26 | Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31? | BUY | 0.6499999946 | $30.00 |
| 08-05 08:05 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.8299999924 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 08:04 | Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999978 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 08:02 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.8119999974 | $30.00 |
| 06-17 02:51 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.9371241112 | $104.12 |
| 05-22 23:24 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.7269999916 | $80.00 |
| 05-21 08:18 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.8599999935 | $50.00 |
| 05-21 08:17 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $50.00 |
| 04-24 07:50 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999991 | $20.00 |
| 04-24 07:48 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.8999999892 | $50.00 |
| 04-22 02:16 | Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? | BUY | 0.7199999981 | $30.00 |
| 04-22 02:15 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999907 | $20.00 |
| 04-22 02:13 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $30.00 |
| 08-10 09:30 | Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15? | BUY | 0.85 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 07:21 | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | SELL | 0.63 | $32.90 |