PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

zephyrblue

0x73ee0fc6ac4bd146448c981d26fe79c59192336b

Realised P&L
$134.27
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$115.64

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8600.968$56.25+$6.25
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.8120.858$31.70+$1.70
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31? · Yes0.6500.600$27.69−$2.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 23:26Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?BUY0.6499999946$30.00
08-05 08:05Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.8299999924$50.00
08-05 08:04Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?BUY0.7799999978$50.00
08-05 08:02Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.8119999974$30.00
06-17 02:51Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.9371241112$104.12
05-22 23:24Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.7269999916$80.00
05-21 08:18Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.8599999935$50.00
05-21 08:17Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.9$50.00
04-24 07:50US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY0.9399999991$20.00
04-24 07:48Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.8999999892$50.00
04-22 02:16Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?BUY0.7199999981$30.00
04-22 02:15Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.2899999907$20.00
04-22 02:13Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.8$30.00
08-10 09:30 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?BUY0.85$10.00
08-05 07:21Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?SELL0.63$32.90
Trader zephyrblue · PolyBot Pro