gnoumsv4
0x73e780f4b97209e80f6b9e04e460591adf418b59
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $186.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,144
- Open portfolio
- $82.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,144
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$849.64at 0.109Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 18?
- +$588.01at 0.112Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on August 31?
- +$280.88at 0.123Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 27?
- +$231.92at 0.059Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 8?
- +$228.25at 0.235Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:12 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.17 |
| 09-17 23:45 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.03 | $12.15 |
| 09-17 20:22 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.26 |
| 09-17 20:21 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.32 |
| 09-17 20:17 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.11 | $4.39 |
| 09-17 20:04 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.796 | $24.50 |
| 09-17 17:59 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.93 | $7.33 |
| 09-17 17:11 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 09-17 15:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.22 | $5.50 |
| 09-17 15:09 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.271 | $5.91 |
| 09-17 15:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.47 |
| 09-17 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.17 | $5.10 |
| 09-17 14:59 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.50 |
| 09-17 14:59 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.50 |
| 09-17 14:59 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.72 |