PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gnoumsv4

0x73e780f4b97209e80f6b9e04e460591adf418b59

Realised P&L
$2.1k
Volume
$186.8k
Markets traded
2,144
Open portfolio
$82.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,144
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 17? · Yes0.2001.000$79.96+$63.96
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17? · Yes0.0300.005$1.73$8.67
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on September 17? · Yes0.0080.001$0.24$3.84
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 17? · Yes0.0990.001$0.06$11.66
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 17? · Yes0.2050.001$0.06$22.82
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 17? · Yes0.1200.001$0.05$12.55
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 17? · Yes0.2290.001$0.05$23.92
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 17? · Yes0.2900.001$0.04$23.16
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 17? · Yes0.1100.001$0.03$6.86
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 19? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$3.15
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 15? · Yes0.1310.000$0.00$10.24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$18.90
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 19? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$13.20
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 21? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$3.40
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 19? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00$4.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 00:12Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?SELL0.02$0.17
09-17 23:45Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?BUY0.03$12.15
09-17 20:22Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on September 17?BUY0.009$0.26
09-17 20:21Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on September 17?BUY0.008$0.32
09-17 20:17Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 17?BUY0.11$4.39
09-17 20:04Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 17?SELL0.796$24.50
09-17 17:59Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17?SELL0.93$7.33
09-17 17:11Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17?SELL0.8$8.00
09-17 15:10Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 17?BUY0.22$5.50
09-17 15:09Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 17?BUY0.271$5.91
09-17 15:08Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 17?SELL0.19$3.47
09-17 15:00Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 17?BUY0.17$5.10
09-17 14:59Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 17?BUY0.1$5.50
09-17 14:59Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 17?BUY0.1$5.50
09-17 14:59Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 17?BUY0.09$0.72