PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x73e351d2359e5c07b195b4131da7b50109e6d246

Realised P&L
$-15.22
Volume
$606.00
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$73.18

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.7780.902$12.63+$1.74
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · No0.8590.872$12.21+$0.18
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8530.872$8.72+$0.19
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8600.920$6.44+$0.42
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8640.915$5.49+$0.30
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · No0.9000.958$4.79+$0.29
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9190.943$4.71+$0.12
China coup attempt before 2027? · No0.9600.940$4.70$0.10
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? · No0.9100.915$4.58+$0.03
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2200.065$2.40$5.74
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.055$1.98$3.06
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · No0.1430.128$1.54$0.18
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · Yes0.0730.036$1.22$1.26
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1100.055$0.82$0.82
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? · Yes0.0900.038$0.49$0.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 10:39Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.919$4.60
07-15 12:51Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.184$1.10
07-07 14:05Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.853$8.53
07-07 10:53Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? BUY0.11$1.65
07-05 15:13US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?BUY0.09$1.17
07-04 20:56Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.87$4.35
06-27 00:21U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?BUY0.91$4.55
06-23 22:41China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.96$4.80
06-21 14:05Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.86$6.02
06-18 22:45U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.9$4.50
06-16 15:20Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.33$1.98
06-13 12:31Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.868$4.34
06-11 10:16Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.075$1.35
06-08 19:37Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.854$7.69
06-05 11:23Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.071$1.14