0x73e351d2359e5c07b195b4131da7b50109e6d246
- Realised P&L
- $-15.22
- Volume
- $606.00
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $73.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.31at 0.252Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
- +$0.16at 0.150Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
- +$0.13at 0.850US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
- +$0.00at 0.500Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.125Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 10:39 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.919 | $4.60 |
| 07-15 12:51 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.184 | $1.10 |
| 07-07 14:05 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.853 | $8.53 |
| 07-07 10:53 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.65 |
| 07-05 15:13 | US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.17 |
| 07-04 20:56 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 06-27 00:21 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 06-23 22:41 | China coup attempt before 2027? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 06-21 14:05 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $6.02 |
| 06-18 22:45 | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 06-16 15:20 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.98 |
| 06-13 12:31 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BUY | 0.868 | $4.34 |
| 06-11 10:16 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.075 | $1.35 |
| 06-08 19:37 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BUY | 0.854 | $7.69 |
| 06-05 11:23 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.071 | $1.14 |