linkeliu
0x73df399a180d32f606c689dff4eeea7366f69465
- Realised P&L
- $62.15
- Volume
- $18.0k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $214.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.172 | 0.125 | $165.15 | −$62.84 |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.481 | 0.151 | $49.56 | −$107.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$344.62at 0.504Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$101.36at 0.330LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)
- +$88.89at 0.529Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$79.86at 0.720Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
- +$61.43at 0.781Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 12:53 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8899999998 | $298.17 |
| 08-07 12:51 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.6404160166 | $123.15 |
| 08-07 09:24 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.5199999983 | $100.00 |
| 07-27 07:48 | Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.8124429517 | $167.42 |
| 07-20 09:52 | Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1495429966 | $50.00 |
| 07-14 07:49 | Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.6649999993 | $50.00 |
| 04-16 12:58 | Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1899999979 | $58.00 |
| 04-10 09:10 | Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 03-02 14:37 | Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5345990395 | $20.00 |
| 02-14 14:54 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.49 |
| 01-26 14:56 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 01-24 11:48 | AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan | BUY | 0.2899999981 | $100.00 |
| 01-20 12:57 | Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5225467382 | $60.00 |
| 01-02 02:14 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.4299999967 | $25.00 |
| 01-01 15:16 | Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5299999972 | $30.00 |