offroadtms
0x73d7099e4079bdd9c5f5ab0c05758e2de4aa11b2
- Realised P&L
- $594.64
- Volume
- $425.7k
- Markets traded
- 762
- Open portfolio
- $21.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded762
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.047Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$2.1kat 0.690Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$1.0kat 0.597US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
- +$889.73at 0.223US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
- +$831.76at 0.564US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 11:21 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.13 | $78.00 |
| 08-06 11:21 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $178.20 |
| 08-05 09:34 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $93.00 |
| 08-05 09:33 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | SELL | 0.0900675271 | $93.23 |
| 08-04 15:43 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $73.20 |
| 08-04 15:42 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | SELL | 0.1002254724 | $314.67 |
| 07-29 18:26 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | SELL | 0.1308196507 | $299.58 |
| 07-29 14:53 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $60.00 |
| 07-29 10:02 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | SELL | 0.1245038 | $62.25 |
| 07-29 09:33 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $32.50 |
| 07-27 09:29 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.031 | $19.38 |
| 07-27 09:29 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | SELL | 0.014 | $4.90 |
| 07-27 09:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $11.32 |
| 07-27 09:28 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $12.00 |
| 07-21 14:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.5612925226 | $34.15 |