PolyBot

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Traders

offroadtms

0x73d7099e4079bdd9c5f5ab0c05758e2de4aa11b2

Realised P&L
$594.64
Volume
$425.7k
Markets traded
762
Open portfolio
$21.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded762
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0200.006$11.71$27.24
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0190.015$9.31$2.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00$0.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00$0.30
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00$0.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00$0.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00$0.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET · Down0.0600.000$0.00$0.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET · Down0.0600.000$0.00$0.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$0.05
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? · Yes0.3850.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00$0.30
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00$0.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 11:21Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.13$78.00
08-06 11:21US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?SELL0.11$178.20
08-05 09:34US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.15$93.00
08-05 09:33Cuban regime falls in 2026?SELL0.0900675271$93.23
08-04 15:43Cuban regime falls in 2026?SELL0.09$73.20
08-04 15:42Cuban regime falls in 2026?SELL0.1002254724$314.67
07-29 18:26Cuban regime falls in 2026?SELL0.1308196507$299.58
07-29 14:53US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?SELL0.06$60.00
07-29 10:02Cuban regime falls in 2026?SELL0.1245038$62.25
07-29 09:33Cuban regime falls in 2026?SELL0.13$32.50
07-27 09:29Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.031$19.38
07-27 09:29Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?SELL0.014$4.90
07-27 09:29Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.005$11.32
07-27 09:28Iran full airspace closure by July 31?SELL0.06$12.00
07-21 14:12Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?BUY0.5612925226$34.15