0x73d2c31940b91fdee6cfe8068b96b6087e1d1f34
0x73d2c31940b91fdee6cfe8068b96b6087e1d1f34
- Realised P&L
- $10.25
- Volume
- $244.65
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $7.69
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.959 | $1.50 | +$0.50 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.660 | 0.986 | $1.49 | +$0.49 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $117.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.685 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $178 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.755 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.700 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.610 | 0.440 | $0.72 | −$0.28 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.505 | $0.67 | −$0.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.87at 0.310US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
- +$4.81at 0.319Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 6?
- +$3.73at 0.370US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$3.37at 0.400Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 17?
- +$3.32at 0.237WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 23:19 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $117.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 15:18 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $178 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 07:17 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $710 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:22 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:45 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 22:55 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 19:02 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 18:53 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 04:42 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:59 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" 5+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:44 | Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 10:36 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 02:34 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 17:34 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 09:24 | Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |