0x73d2c31940b91fdee6cfe8068b96b6087e1d1f34
- Realised P&L
- $-6.80
- Volume
- $53.27
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $11.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes | 0.790 | 1.000 | $2.77 | +$0.58 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.905 | $2.48 | +$0.29 |
| Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.500 | $2.43 | +$0.24 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.670 | $2.37 | +$0.18 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.450 | 0.215 | $1.05 | −$1.14 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.165 | $0.86 | −$1.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.500Another pandemic before GTA VI?
- +$-0.01at 0.502Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
- +$-0.04at 0.510New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
- +$-0.04at 0.510Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
- +$-0.04at 0.510Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 21:39 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.19 |
| 08-03 13:38 | Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4499999486 | $2.19 |
| 08-03 05:38 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $487.50 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $2.19 |
| 08-02 20:30 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999037 | $2.19 |
| 08-02 19:34 | Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4899999687 | $2.19 |
| 08-02 05:02 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4499999486 | $2.19 |
| 08-01 20:57 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999463 | $2.19 |
| 08-01 12:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.7899998196 | $2.19 |
| 08-01 03:12 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999262 | $2.21 |
| 07-31 19:12 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-31 11:11 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-30 01:29 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-29 08:56 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5019999626 | $1.53 |
| 07-28 23:26 | Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.3949999096 | $1.42 |