Mithra
0x73d242cd7daf0193101aff4ebbda0609f3ef2ed6
- Realised P&L
- $-718.07
- Volume
- $20.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,298
- Open portfolio
- $121.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,298
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.240 | $45.07 | +$15.07 |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.380 | $38.00 | +$8.00 |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.195 | $27.86 | −$2.14 |
| Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) · FK Bodø/Glimt | 0.130 | 0.165 | $2.54 | +$0.54 |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-04? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.485 | $2.11 | +$0.11 |
| Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-1.5) · FK Crvena zvezda | 0.310 | 0.325 | $2.10 | +$0.10 |
| Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5) · Olympiakós SFP | 0.380 | 0.375 | $1.97 | −$0.03 |
| Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5) · PFK Levski Sofia | 0.330 | 0.315 | $1.91 | −$0.09 |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) · FC Bayern München | 0.223 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Valencia win on 2025-09-14? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-08-16? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-02? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5) · AFC Bournemouth | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.10 |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-09-21? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Azerbaijan win on 2025-10-13? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.70at 0.460Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-31?
- +$39.83at 0.201Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?
- +$36.67at 0.450Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?
- +$36.67at 0.120Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
- +$36.23at 0.453US military action against Iran before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 03:21 | Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1299999467 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 03:16 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 03:15 | Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3799999468 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 03:12 | Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3299998927 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 03:11 | Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3099999364 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 15:43 | Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 07-24 22:54 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 07-24 22:49 | Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.159733777 | $30.00 |
| 07-24 22:49 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999957 | $30.00 |
| 06-09 22:00 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0189999954 | $4.00 |
| 06-04 23:40 | Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30? | BUY | 0.1813072251 | $5.00 |
| 06-03 22:34 | Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | BUY | 0.2179999556 | $3.42 |
| 06-03 22:31 | Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? | BUY | 0.1372548799 | $5.00 |
| 05-31 17:43 | Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by June 30? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 05-31 17:39 | Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31? | BUY | 0.3299999922 | $20.00 |