serdarcumaoglu
0x73cb7149a2e9948657ae6e29c402db5a46f8e668
- Realised P&L
- $-543.00
- Volume
- $68.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,289
- Open portfolio
- $14.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,289
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$143.91at 0.389Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
- +$116.54at 0.491Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5AM ET
- +$75.85at 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
- +$63.22at 0.347Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
- +$57.79at 0.344Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:31 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 18:31 | Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 18:31 | Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 18:30 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 18:25 | Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 17:34 | Will SK Rapid win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.81 | $8.61 |
| 11-01 17:33 | Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.77 | $18.78 |
| 11-01 16:53 | Will FC Lugano win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.77 | $11.84 |
| 11-01 16:50 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 16:33 | Panathinaikos Athens vs. AEK Athens: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 16:32 | Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 16:32 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 16:32 | Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 16:31 | Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 16:31 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |