PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

serdarcumaoglu

0x73cb7149a2e9948657ae6e29c402db5a46f8e668

Realised P&L
$-543.00
Volume
$68.9k
Markets traded
2,289
Open portfolio
$14.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,289
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? · Yes0.4100.425$10.37+$0.37
Will PFC Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-09-20? · Yes0.5830.465$3.99−$1.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET · Down0.2300.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET · Up0.2800.000$0.00−$5.00
Everton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04? · Yes0.4820.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET · Down0.4980.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET · Up0.3000.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$5.00
Hungary vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will NEC win on 2026-10-15? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2AM ET · Down0.1710.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET · Down0.2200.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET · Down0.0800.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 18:31Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.5099999776$5.00
11-01 18:31Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5BUY0.649999974$5.00
11-01 18:31Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5799999768$5.00
11-01 18:30Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.5899999705$5.00
11-01 18:25Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5BUY0.539999986$10.00
11-01 17:34Will SK Rapid win on 2026-11-01?SELL0.81$8.61
11-01 17:33Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-01?SELL0.77$18.78
11-01 16:53Will FC Lugano win on 2026-11-01?SELL0.77$11.84
11-01 16:50Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.16$5.00
11-01 16:33Panathinaikos Athens vs. AEK Athens: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5699999886$5.00
11-01 16:32Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.5299999587$5.00
11-01 16:32Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.4099999984$5.00
11-01 16:32Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.4899999824$5.00
11-01 16:31Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.3899999945$5.00
11-01 16:31Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.659999963$5.00