randomUser413321
0x73c9447324be4801dd1da1198e9f0edee9e65eb1
- Realised P&L
- $-10.1k
- Volume
- $244.8k
- Markets traded
- 466
- Open portfolio
- $304.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded466
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.5kat 0.647Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
- +$3.5kat 0.562Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 0.5
- +$2.3kat 0.696Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5
- +$1.5kat 0.697Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5
- +$1.2kat 0.696Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 14:20 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.7899999998 | $300.00 |
| 09-22 14:20 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.7455752212 | $168.50 |
| 09-21 12:18 | Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on September 21? | BUY | 0.6799999998 | $350.00 |
| 09-21 12:17 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 21? | BUY | 0.9388012579 | $350.00 |
| 09-21 12:16 | Micron (MU) Up or Down on September 21? | BUY | 0.9006690685 | $350.00 |
| 09-19 07:12 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 14:20 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.8799999998 | $300.00 |
| 09-18 14:19 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.8995067705 | $300.00 |
| 09-18 14:19 | Micron (MU) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.8585526312 | $300.00 |
| 09-17 13:08 | Micron (MU) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.9424993575 | $300.00 |
| 09-17 13:04 | Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.9048723895 | $300.00 |
| 09-17 13:03 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.8428358947 | $300.00 |
| 09-17 12:59 | Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 12:59 | Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 12:58 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |