0x84D74aFe6ab1F14A18514B1ed4FE3aAd99D25710-1773690644617
0x73b0c35f6bf8be3a062fe30ab912f07021ad04ed
- Realised P&L
- $-196.17
- Volume
- $64.6k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.99 |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.99 |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.99 |
| Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.00 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.00 |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.99 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.50 |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.58 |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.80at 0.500US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$17.64at 0.316Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
- +$11.25at 0.500US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$10.31at 0.500US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
- +$9.16at 0.500US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 15:44 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.077 | $0.00 |
| 09-26 15:37 | Will "Patient Zero" hit 70m first week streams? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.04 |
| 09-26 15:35 | Will "Patient Zero" hit 70m first week streams? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.13 |
| 09-26 15:34 | Will "Patient Zero" hit 70m first week streams? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.03 |
| 09-26 15:33 | Will "Patient Zero" hit 70m first week streams? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.03 |
| 09-26 15:32 | Will "Patient Zero" hit 70m first week streams? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.03 |
| 09-26 15:31 | Will "Patient Zero" hit 70m first week streams? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.03 |
| 09-26 15:30 | Will "Patient Zero" hit 70m first week streams? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.03 |
| 09-26 15:29 | Will "Patient Zero" hit 70m first week streams? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.04 |
| 09-26 15:28 | Will "Patient Zero" hit 70m first week streams? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.04 |
| 09-26 15:27 | Will "Patient Zero" hit 70m first week streams? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.03 |
| 09-26 15:26 | Will "Patient Zero" hit 70m first week streams? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.04 |
| 09-26 15:18 | Will Karmine Corp win VALORANT Champions 2026? | SELL | 0.107 | $0.00 |
| 09-26 15:17 | Will Karmine Corp win VALORANT Champions 2026? | SELL | 0.107 | $0.00 |
| 09-26 15:16 | Will Karmine Corp win VALORANT Champions 2026? | SELL | 0.107 | $0.00 |