crypto15m
0x73a9038cdf10437f1db9e7f06e64b2a98210252d
- Realised P&L
- $-62.74
- Volume
- $15.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,780
- Open portfolio
- $35.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,780
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.40at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
- +$9.80at 0.020Solana Up or Down - November 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
- +$9.80at 0.020Solana Up or Down - November 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
- +$9.80at 0.020Solana Up or Down - November 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
- +$9.80at 0.020Ethereum Up or Down - November 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 03:59 | Will Adam Murphy be the VA-09 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 03:32 | Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%? | BUY | 0.8009993288 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 23:40 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.1589998707 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 23:29 | Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 08:48 | Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 05:10 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 01:40 | Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | SELL | 0.23 | $3.83 |
| 07-31 23:51 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in July? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 23:15 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 21:38 | Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 20:48 | Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 15:00 | Will TD Ierlan win the 2026 PLL Face-Off Player of the Year? | BUY | 0.7599993312 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 12:37 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 11:57 | Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 11:24 | Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |