0x73a1e68115e169dfe1bbee638df7ff6a9f95e8bf
- Realised P&L
- $12.81
- Volume
- $776.75
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $272.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration49.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No | 0.300 | 0.400 | $133.33 | +$33.33 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.765 | $99.35 | −$0.65 |
| Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.215 | 0.203 | $23.54 | −$1.46 |
| Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.309 | 0.197 | $15.90 | −$9.10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET · Down | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET · Up | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Up | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 19:52 | Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2155677734 | $25.00 |
| 09-12 19:52 | Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3089999995 | $25.00 |
| 09-12 19:52 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.2999999994 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 03:16 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $100.00 |
| 09-11 19:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 18:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 18:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |