0x739D1e72481dAfd777Bf4e57f7b89A6a73Abd2fF-1761571315579
0x739d1e72481dafd777bf4e57f7b89a6a73abd2ff
- Realised P&L
- $109.21
- Volume
- $196.0k
- Markets traded
- 863
- Open portfolio
- $0.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded863
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States vs. Mexico end in a draw? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.001 | $0.14 | −$68.30 |
| Bucks vs. Clippers · Bucks | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will US Lecce vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-02? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Pistons vs. Raptors · Raptors | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-06? · Yes | 0.247 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.07 |
| Will RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5) · Manchester United FC | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.50 |
| Will FC Gifu vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Poland win on 2026-03-31? · Yes | 0.123 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5) · Racing Club de Lens | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| Nuggets vs. Jazz · Jazz | 0.164 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
| Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5) · SSC Napoli | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$530.11at 0.336Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
- +$490.86at 0.140Magic vs. Raptors
- +$431.68at 0.150Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)
- +$365.35at 0.123Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?
- +$364.22at 0.447Spread: Austria (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 01:34 | Will United States vs. Mexico end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999997 | $68.44 |
| 10-03 17:48 | Will Switzerland vs. Slovenia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1799999997 | $46.00 |
| 09-27 16:51 | Will Norway vs. Portugal end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $46.33 |
| 09-27 15:56 | Will Austria vs. Kosovo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2299999999 | $56.00 |
| 09-24 18:36 | Will Denmark win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $60.00 |
| 09-24 12:01 | Will Japan vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | SELL | 0.168807674 | $21.29 |
| 09-24 12:01 | Will Japan vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.62 |
| 09-24 10:14 | Will Japan vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999984 | $40.00 |
| 09-24 01:52 | Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999977 | $25.00 |
| 09-21 01:06 | Will Inter Miami CF vs. San Diego FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.65 | $20.14 |
| 09-20 23:59 | Will Inter Miami CF vs. San Diego FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999994 | $31.00 |
| 09-20 14:56 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3099999997 | $33.00 |
| 09-20 13:17 | Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999994 | $19.00 |
| 09-19 16:11 | Will AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999989 | $35.00 |
| 09-19 14:26 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2999999979 | $28.00 |