PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Subwayserf

0x739ad04e37f3da4a715b3b9289b8398400dd552c

Realised P&L
$-7.8k
Volume
$2.06M
Markets traded
127
Open portfolio
$33.68

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded127
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will XRP reach $1.60 October 12-18? · Yes0.0070.047$11.04+$9.39
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 12-18? · Yes0.0030.002$9.76−$10.22
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 12-18? · Yes0.0030.003$7.42−$1.57
Will XRP reach $1.50 October 12-18? · Yes0.0390.026$5.46−$2.81
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 June 22-28? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 20? · No0.0580.000$0.00−$55.01
Will XRP reach $1.80 July 13-19? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$34.98
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$32.59
Will XRP reach $1.70 March 9-15? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 July 13-19? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.03
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 13-19? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$138.29
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$270.74
Will XRP reach $2.20 in February? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$8.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 10:39Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 12-18?BUY0.003085093$3.00
10-16 10:26Will XRP reach $1.50 October 12-18?BUY0.027$0.27
10-16 07:29Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 12-18?BUY0.0030081219$3.00
10-16 07:27Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 12-18?BUY0.003$3.00
10-16 00:45Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 12-18?BUY0.0039800995$1.00
10-15 22:31Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 12-18?BUY0.003$1.00
10-15 15:53Will XRP reach $1.60 October 12-18?BUY0.007$1.64
10-15 15:14Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 12-18?BUY0.0031052353$7.00
10-15 12:24Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 12-18?BUY0.003$11.00
10-10 10:20Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 5-11?BUY0.002$2.31
10-10 10:18Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 5-11?BUY0.002$6.00
10-10 09:49Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 5-11?BUY0.0029985007$10.00
10-10 09:37Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 5-11?BUY0.0030175452$10.00
10-10 09:36Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 5-11?BUY0.0023840175$1.00
10-10 08:46Will Ethereum reach $3,400 October 5-11?BUY0.0010982373$2.00