0x739757ee06a5c16fe8080e378129924f8d8a0f2a
0x739757ee06a5c16fe8080e378129924f8d8a0f2a
- Realised P&L
- $-0.57
- Volume
- $108.04
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $1.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 14m? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.190 | $1.27 | −$0.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.20at 0.100France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?
- +$-0.16at 0.300Will Taylor Hall lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in assists?
- +$-0.61at 0.350Will Augusto Cury win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 05:26 | France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 09-16 04:44 | Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 14m? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.67 |
| 09-16 04:38 | Will Augusto Cury win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.43 |
| 06-09 14:14 | Will Taylor Hall lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in assists? | SELL | 0.3 | $2.00 |
| 06-09 09:32 | Will Taylor Hall lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in assists? | SELL | 0.3 | $4.00 |
| 06-08 15:41 | Will Taylor Hall lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in assists? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.50 |