dragunis
0x738d3152bd07bb4af73bdd867fb12b038c5f4df6
- Realised P&L
- $-4.1k
- Volume
- $385.2k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $77.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $77.50 | −$206.55 |
| Cavaliers vs. Suns · Cavaliers | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will André Ventura win the second round? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.94 |
| 76ers vs. Hawks · 76ers | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Lakers vs. Magic · Lakers | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.25 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.00 |
| Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers · Nuggets | 0.362 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.19 |
| Nuggets vs. Rockets · Rockets | 0.075 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Grizzlies vs. Clippers · Grizzlies | 0.387 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| 76ers vs. Pelicans · 76ers | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| Raptors vs. Wizards · Wizards | 0.168 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.99 |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.79 |
| Bulls vs. Nuggets · Nuggets | 0.521 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$276.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.173Nets vs. Grizzlies
- +$1.2kat 0.258Suns vs. Clippers
- +$1.1kat 0.116Magic vs. Bulls
- +$850.67at 0.429Spurs vs. Jazz
- +$794.23at 0.421Trail Blazers vs. Clippers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 16:06 | Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.27 |
| 08-20 23:35 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.0251370994 | $4.66 |
| 08-20 01:07 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.1475252309 | $17.89 |
| 08-18 22:21 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.0296747669 | $5.50 |
| 08-17 23:25 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.1813950868 | $22.00 |
| 08-17 23:14 | Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.008852943 | $66.00 |
| 08-16 23:04 | Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $62.73 |
| 08-16 23:04 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.294 | $67.33 |
| 08-16 23:01 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2949999971 | $67.56 |
| 08-16 23:00 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.047 | $71.66 |
| 07-19 16:28 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0812011444 | $123.81 |
| 07-19 02:03 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.010537961 | $51.37 |
| 07-19 02:02 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.018 | $83.02 |
| 06-04 21:45 | Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0089999994 | $14.79 |
| 06-04 21:45 | Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0029999994 | $5.00 |