PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dragunis

0x738d3152bd07bb4af73bdd867fb12b038c5f4df6

Realised P&L
$-4.1k
Volume
$385.2k
Markets traded
104
Open portfolio
$77.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded104
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0020.001$77.50−$206.55
Cavaliers vs. Suns · Cavaliers0.0600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$10.00
Will André Ventura win the second round? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$6.94
76ers vs. Hawks · 76ers0.0100.000$0.00−$4.00
Lakers vs. Magic · Lakers0.1100.000$0.00−$15.25
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$34.00
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers · Nuggets0.3620.000$0.00−$35.19
Nuggets vs. Rockets · Rockets0.0750.000$0.00−$30.00
Grizzlies vs. Clippers · Grizzlies0.3870.000$0.00−$30.00
76ers vs. Pelicans · 76ers0.3700.000$0.00−$35.00
Raptors vs. Wizards · Wizards0.1680.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$54.99
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$14.79
Bulls vs. Nuggets · Nuggets0.5210.000$0.00−$276.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-22 16:06Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.002$5.27
08-20 23:35Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?SELL0.0251370994$4.66
08-20 01:07Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?SELL0.1475252309$17.89
08-18 22:21Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?BUY0.0296747669$5.50
08-17 23:25Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?BUY0.1813950868$22.00
08-17 23:14Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.008852943$66.00
08-16 23:04Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$62.73
08-16 23:04Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.294$67.33
08-16 23:01Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2949999971$67.56
08-16 23:00Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.047$71.66
07-19 16:28Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0812011444$123.81
07-19 02:03Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.010537961$51.37
07-19 02:02Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.018$83.02
06-04 21:45Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0089999994$14.79
06-04 21:45Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0029999994$5.00