lueagzil
0x738999f2820e326aa18f76347fd7892f54c29b89
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $60.7k
- Markets traded
- 516
- Open portfolio
- $3.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded516
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.40at 0.897Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$36.90at 0.898Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$24.33at 0.887Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 13?
- +$23.39at 0.769Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-09-05?
- +$22.32at 0.651Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 00:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.991 | $198.20 |
| 10-05 09:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 10-04 00:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.988 | $98.80 |
| 10-03 03:59 | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | BUY | 0.95 | $28.50 |
| 10-03 03:57 | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | BUY | 0.948 | $10.62 |
| 10-03 03:51 | China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | BUY | 0.9599999232 | $4.00 |
| 10-03 03:41 | China Open: Donna Vekic vs Lin Zhu | BUY | 0.91 | $36.40 |
| 10-02 11:34 | China Open: Renata Zarazua vs Aryna Sabalenka | BUY | 0.9855263 | $98.55 |
| 10-02 10:30 | China Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Magdalena Frech | BUY | 0.97 | $97.00 |
| 10-02 04:20 | China Open: Yue Yuan vs Mirra Andreeva | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 10-02 04:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.976 | $97.60 |
| 10-02 00:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.991 | $99.10 |
| 10-01 12:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.991 | $4.96 |
| 10-01 11:49 | China Open: Eva Lys vs Xinran Sun | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 10-01 04:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.983 | $4.92 |