0x73870c5b667d1a4323f7363ff43a70f7f0c3d8ae
0x73870c5b667d1a4323f7363ff43a70f7f0c3d8ae
- Realised P&L
- $-2.05
- Volume
- $44.77
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $7.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $130 September 21-27? · No | 0.950 | 1.000 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET · Down | 0.960 | 1.000 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will XRP reach $1.70 September 21-27? · No | 0.961 | 1.000 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $125 on September 28? · No | 0.950 | 0.984 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on September 28? · No | 0.950 | 0.978 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on September 29? · No | 0.950 | 0.955 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 28? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.945 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? · No | 0.951 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 21? · No | 0.966 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.04at 0.963Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on September 16?
- +$0.04at 0.963XRP Up or Down on September 19?
- +$0.04at 0.963Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 23?
- +$0.04at 0.963Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 22?
- +$0.04at 0.963Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 03:01 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on September 29? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 02:30 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 02:16 | Will the price of Solana be above $125 on September 28? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 15:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on September 27? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 14:46 | XRP Up or Down - September 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 03:45 | Solana Up or Down - September 26, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 03:30 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on September 28? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 28? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 01:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 04:46 | Will XRP reach $1.70 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9609999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 04:31 | Will Solana reach $130 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 04:02 | Will the price of Solana be above $125 on September 27? | BUY | 0.9649999952 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 03:45 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on September 26? | BUY | 0.9709999981 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 03:30 | BNB Up or Down - September 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9689999777 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 02:46 | XRP Up or Down - September 25, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |