0x737dcdd97d0447d7b6c0f92073a6f9663ca6ca1d
0x737dcdd97d0447d7b6c0f92073a6f9663ca6ca1d
- Realised P&L
- $-100.28
- Volume
- $23.5k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $456.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$181.43at 0.333Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?
- +$174.03at 0.410Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September?
- +$145.50at 0.262Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?
- +$7.42at 0.322Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
- +$-1.46at 0.066Will XRP reach $2.00 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 12:58 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.00488654 | $4.89 |
| 10-01 10:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | BUY | 0.4176923077 | $27.15 |
| 09-30 14:52 | Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 75,000 and 80,000? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 13:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.0754716981 | $25.00 |
| 09-30 12:58 | Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000? | BUY | 0.1893103448 | $27.45 |
| 09-30 12:51 | Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 75,000 and 80,000? | BUY | 0.0315167742 | $48.85 |
| 09-30 12:49 | Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000? | BUY | 0.16 | $50.00 |
| 09-29 12:56 | Will XRP reach $1.80 in September? | BUY | 0.0437471034 | $6.34 |
| 09-29 10:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.2599999977 | $25.00 |
| 09-28 17:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.1299999995 | $25.00 |
| 09-28 14:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.1699999995 | $25.00 |
| 09-28 14:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.3699999976 | $25.00 |
| 09-28 02:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.4642105263 | $88.20 |
| 09-28 02:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.48 | $84.00 |
| 09-27 03:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | SELL | 0.1239109013 | $19.29 |