5911
0x735b09b96763f63d63236631f985221ad961296c
- Realised P&L
- $-16.28
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $385.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.087 | $385.55 | +$106.33 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 21? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.71at 0.280Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$0.01at 0.991Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 16:24 | France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.068 | $35.36 |
| 10-26 16:22 | France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.068 | $34.00 |
| 11-21 11:19 | AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.073731684 | $10.00 |
| 11-21 11:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 21? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 11-21 11:02 | Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 09:59 | Will Jesus Christ return in 2025? | SELL | 0.992 | $10.01 |
| 10-17 14:50 | Will Jesus Christ return in 2025? | BUY | 0.9909999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 14:35 | Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.2799999515 | $3.00 |