tarkiwins
0x735865aef506452dc813596d043818503e1c6609
- Realised P&L
- $-361.56
- Volume
- $16.2k
- Markets traded
- 200
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded200
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.49at 0.960Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?
- +$3.52at 0.967Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 22?
- +$3.19at 0.973Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 21?
- +$3.15at 0.977Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C on September 21?
- +$2.57at 0.974Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 21:40 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.99 |
| 09-22 21:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.99 |
| 09-22 21:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.984140748 | $20.00 |
| 09-22 20:45 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.99 |
| 09-22 20:25 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.985 | $4.92 |
| 09-22 20:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.9623002887 | $20.00 |
| 09-22 19:51 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.99 |
| 09-22 19:50 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 19:28 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.99 |
| 09-22 19:23 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 19:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-22 18:59 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.984 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 18:59 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 18:58 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.99 |
| 09-22 18:45 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.99 |