ruben899889
0x73533101b2276cd08ec3d281f81bfc6b86944b0d
- Realised P&L
- $-10.6k
- Volume
- $573.1k
- Markets traded
- 354
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded354
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5) · Indiana Fever | 0.630 | 1.000 | $2.9k | +$1.1k |
| Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFire · Seattle Storm | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET · Up | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$69.96 |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) · Australia | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$201.50 |
| Spread: Spurs (-1.5) · Spurs | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$634.40 |
| Team Spoon vs. Team Coop: O/U 279.5 · Over | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$339.56 |
| Spread: Atlanta Dream (-14.5) · Chicago Sky | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$260.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET · Down | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 180.5 · Under | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Paraguay to score first vs. United States? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 185.5 · Over | 0.528 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5) · PortlandFire | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$138.24 |
| Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$79.00 |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes | 0.136 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.600Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5
- +$1.4kat 0.577Spread: Spurs (-14.5)
- +$1.3kat 0.501Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 178.5
- +$1.1kat 0.492Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)
- +$1.1kat 0.552Chicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 01:32 | Spread: Washington Mystics (-17.5) | SELL | 0.99 | $2.1k |
| 09-22 23:20 | Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 178.5 | BUY | 0.5786539351 | $1.5k |
| 09-22 23:19 | Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5) | BUY | 0.63 | $1.8k |
| 09-22 22:26 | Spread: Washington Mystics (-17.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $1.1k |
| 09-22 02:05 | Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5023488676 | $3.0k |
| 09-21 12:56 | Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4940008584 | $4.1k |
| 09-20 21:55 | Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-1.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $1.2k |
| 09-20 13:08 | Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-1.5) | BUY | 0.528410291 | $1.2k |
| 09-20 13:07 | New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 176.5 | BUY | 0.4997642621 | $1.1k |
| 09-20 13:06 | Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5 | BUY | 0.4897359265 | $1.0k |
| 09-19 22:51 | Spread: Atlanta Dream (-14.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $260.00 |
| 09-19 13:20 | Spread: Dallas Wings (-9.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $228.80 |
| 09-19 04:06 | Portland Fire vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $249.75 |
| 09-18 23:31 | Portland Fire vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5 | BUY | 0.56 | $140.00 |
| 09-18 23:29 | Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5799999979 | $100.00 |