kelvin-123
0x73531ff0baf770eafdc25003fad6e33f7db682eb
- Realised P&L
- $18.52
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $338.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.74at 0.580Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
- +$2.67at 0.290Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
- +$0.71at 0.870Asuncion: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Pedro Boscardin Dias
- +$0.06at 0.890Miami Open: Elina Svitolina vs Emerson Jones
- +$-0.34at 0.880Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-24 19:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $8.90 |
| 03-24 19:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.58 | $13.40 |
| 03-24 14:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.62 | $9.57 |
| 03-24 14:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $8.41 |
| 03-24 13:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | SELL | 0.37 | $10.77 |
| 03-24 13:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.56 |
| 03-24 10:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | SELL | 0.42 | $7.93 |
| 03-24 07:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.63 | $14.15 |
| 03-21 21:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $6.70 |
| 03-21 20:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $4.65 |
| 03-21 20:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $4.04 |
| 03-21 20:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $3.80 |
| 03-21 20:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $3.73 |
| 03-21 20:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $4.09 |
| 03-21 19:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $4.66 |