0x735073afa04621e36ea2cef13738e4e9c2a32d14
0x735073afa04621e36ea2cef13738e4e9c2a32d14
- Realised P&L
- $-2.18
- Volume
- $211.39
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $6.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? · No | 0.420 | 0.840 | $2.00 | +$1.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · No | 0.750 | 0.810 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? · No | 0.780 | 0.795 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.750 | 0.700 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.730 | 0.675 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.140 | $0.52 | −$0.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.98at 0.210US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
- +$2.79at 0.369SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 16?
- +$2.55at 0.389Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.25at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$1.83at 0.470S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:18 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:11 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:10 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 11:48 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:05 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:41 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:51 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 11:18 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999436 | $1.59 |
| 09-23 03:14 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999225 | $1.59 |
| 09-21 07:08 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999902 | $1.59 |
| 09-20 22:38 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.59 |
| 09-19 23:08 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.7599999809 | $1.59 |
| 09-19 05:51 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.59 |
| 09-17 19:52 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6499999591 | $1.59 |
| 09-17 11:44 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 17? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.59 |