0x734839d2b6f96401cd007793cf1e198486179558
0x734839d2b6f96401cd007793cf1e198486179558
- Realised P&L
- $-0.06
- Volume
- $25.37
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $9.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.660 | $1.83 | +$0.83 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.670 | 0.986 | $1.47 | +$0.47 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.959 | $1.45 | +$0.45 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.964 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.240 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.485 | $0.66 | −$0.34 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.475 | $0.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.150 | $0.63 | −$0.37 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.380 | $0.48 | −$0.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.97at 0.512Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$-1.04at 0.290Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 14:17 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:13 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:56 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 07:21 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 23:07 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 11:34 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 03:33 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 17:30 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 08:09 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 22:14 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 14:03 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |