0x733e6e6a1a79a9661a4860e00ac9e3400c96d6da
0x733e6e6a1a79a9661a4860e00ac9e3400c96d6da
- Realised P&L
- $6.64
- Volume
- $99.18
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $27.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.59at 0.259Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?
- +$1.39at 0.412Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 30?
- +$1.19at 0.462Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 30?
- +$0.73at 0.775Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 1?
- +$0.29at 0.779Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on October 2? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 10-01 05:28 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.10 |
| 10-01 05:27 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.26 |
| 09-30 22:22 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:21 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:18 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:11 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:11 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:11 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:11 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:02 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |