PolyBot

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Traders

Walnich0002

0x733417096e5efedcf6acf7c6daf8d84532258be8

Realised P&L
$-113.87
Volume
$25.3k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$29.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0410.116$11.41+$7.36
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0730.028$5.65$9.35
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1600.080$3.44$3.48
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0220.024$3.19+$0.20
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0220.026$2.93+$0.49
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0310.015$1.28$1.28
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.004$0.99$1.45
Will Ethena reach $0.70 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.061$0.61$1.19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Up0.5260.000$0.00$22.76
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET · Up0.1820.000$0.00$7.87
Will Valencia be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$5.15
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$4.46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET · Up0.0670.000$0.00$2.91
Spread: Pistons (-4.5) · Pistons0.4870.000$0.00$9.75
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET · Up0.1100.000$0.00$4.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-04 19:54Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0229999913$2.54
06-04 19:54Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0089999965$2.54
06-04 19:46Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0309999886$2.57
06-04 19:44Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.021999993$2.99
06-04 19:19Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0409999906$4.05
05-31 12:03Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.1483375$1.19
05-31 12:03Will Ethena reach $0.80 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.06$0.59
05-31 12:03Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.06$1.01
05-31 12:03Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.05$0.89
05-31 12:03Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0462893082$1.03
05-31 12:03Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0632047364$1.65
05-31 12:03SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? SELL0.03$1.19
05-29 18:18Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.16$6.92
05-29 18:18Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.11$3.45
05-29 18:18Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.1819801064$7.87