Walnich0002
0x733417096e5efedcf6acf7c6daf8d84532258be8
- Realised P&L
- $-113.87
- Volume
- $25.3k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $29.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.87at 0.051Will Osasuna be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?
- +$2.80at 0.498Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
- +$2.67at 0.507Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
- +$2.60at 0.517Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
- +$2.57at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-04 19:54 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0229999913 | $2.54 |
| 06-04 19:54 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0089999965 | $2.54 |
| 06-04 19:46 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0309999886 | $2.57 |
| 06-04 19:44 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.021999993 | $2.99 |
| 06-04 19:19 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0409999906 | $4.05 |
| 05-31 12:03 | Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1483375 | $1.19 |
| 05-31 12:03 | Will Ethena reach $0.80 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.59 |
| 05-31 12:03 | Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.01 |
| 05-31 12:03 | Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.89 |
| 05-31 12:03 | Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0462893082 | $1.03 |
| 05-31 12:03 | Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0632047364 | $1.65 |
| 05-31 12:03 | SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.19 |
| 05-29 18:18 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.16 | $6.92 |
| 05-29 18:18 | Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.11 | $3.45 |
| 05-29 18:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1819801064 | $7.87 |