CheetoPilled🌭🍺🇺🇸
0x732d5f2b8d12b71887cf4524a01d1f4198e22787
- Realised P&L
- $29.83
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $44.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.065 | $10.83 | −$9.17 |
| Spread: Vanderbilt (-3.5) · Vanderbilt | 0.470 | 1.000 | $10.64 | +$5.64 |
| SMU vs. Louisville: O/U 56.5 · Over | 0.560 | 1.000 | $8.93 | +$3.93 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No | 0.850 | 0.925 | $5.44 | +$0.44 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.048 | $4.48 | −$0.52 |
| Spread: LSU (-3.5) · LSU | 0.460 | 0.435 | $4.35 | −$0.25 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the 2026 State of the Union address? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Trump say "Middle East" during the 2026 State of the Union address? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Trump say "Too Late" during the 2026 State of the Union address? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Spread: Alabama (-10.5) · Kentucky | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Up | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.63at 0.490Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$56.84at 0.468Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVIII?
- +$40.01at 0.111Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$27.14at 0.870Trump in jail before election day?
- +$20.82at 0.490Will the Raiders draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 01:39 | SMU vs. Louisville: O/U 56.5 | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 01:37 | Spread: LSU (-3.5) | BUY | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 09-19 01:36 | Spread: Vanderbilt (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 17:40 | Spread: Alabama (-10.5) | BUY | 0.549999945 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 17:40 | Spread: Alabama (-10.5) | BUY | 0.549999945 | $3.00 |
| 09-12 17:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 01:04 | Patriots vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 09-05 14:33 | Spread: Washington (-23.5) | BUY | 0.5199999986 | $15.00 |
| 09-05 14:32 | Spread: Washington (-23.5) | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 05-05 09:35 | Timberwolves vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 05-05 09:35 | 76ers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 05-05 09:34 | Lakers vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $5.00 |
| 05-04 23:00 | 76ers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 05-04 22:59 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.849999983 | $5.00 |
| 05-04 22:59 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0529999903 | $5.00 |