PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x732547a7ffb048f9a27e5f403b54c8e582f9c67b

Realised P&L
$6.83
Volume
$106.00
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$2.72

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? · Yes0.4400.425$0.97$0.03
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 19, 2026? · Yes0.7800.715$0.92$0.08
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.2300.190$0.83$0.17
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No0.6400.006$0.01$0.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 21:34Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
09-13 23:22Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
09-13 10:48Will Russia target Kyiv on September 19, 2026?BUY0.7799995632$1.00
09-10 05:04US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
09-08 18:44LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?BUY0.8$1.00
09-08 18:40US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
09-08 08:30Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.25 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
09-07 13:33US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-03 08:05US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.64$1.00
09-02 15:11WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on September 2?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
09-02 07:39Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?SELL0.54$0.88
09-02 07:39Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.4$0.51
09-01 11:39Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 3, 2026?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
09-01 03:37Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
09-01 03:37Will Andy Burnham say "NATO" during the next PMQ?BUY0.4399998064$1.00