0x732547a7ffb048f9a27e5f403b54c8e582f9c67b
- Realised P&L
- $6.83
- Volume
- $106.00
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $2.72
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.425 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.715 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.190 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.640 | 0.006 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.51at 0.227Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$1.73at 0.288Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $487.50 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$1.61at 0.389Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.25 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$1.30at 0.440SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?
- +$1.26at 0.379Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 21:34 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 23:22 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 10:48 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 05:04 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 18:44 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 18:40 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 08:30 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.25 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 13:33 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 08:05 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 15:11 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on September 2? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 07:39 | Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ? | SELL | 0.54 | $0.88 |
| 09-02 07:39 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $0.51 |
| 09-01 11:39 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 03:37 | Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 03:37 | Will Andy Burnham say "NATO" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |