TrentaColdBrew
0x73204a323ce847894dfc04144211524306c128b4
- Realised P&L
- $-92.5k
- Volume
- $4.59M
- Markets traded
- 268
- Open portfolio
- $12.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded268
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.647 | 0.715 | $7.4k | +$706.72 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.960 | $2.4k | +$123.16 |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.003 | $2.2k | −$3.8k |
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.977 | $145.57 | +$51.70 |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.966 | $10.16 | +$3.64 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos · Chiefs | 0.664 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.6k |
| Lakers vs. Thunder · Lakers | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.1k |
| Thunder vs. Spurs · Thunder | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.6k |
| Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford · Canelo | 0.616 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.6k |
| Lakers vs. Rockets · Rockets | 0.686 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.1k |
| Lakers vs. Clippers · Lakers | 0.482 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.3k |
| Pistons vs. Spurs · Pistons | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.3k |
| UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · Oliveira | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$219.99 |
| Bills vs. Rams · Rams | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.1k |
| Jaguars vs. Texans · Jaguars | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.5kat 0.664Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
- +$28.6kat 0.729Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
- +$12.7kat 0.472Pereira vs. Ankalaev
- +$11.2kat 0.340Thunder vs. Pacers
- +$9.0kat 0.681Patriots vs. Broncos
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 00:08 | Chiefs vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.42 | $2.9k |
| 10-23 17:44 | UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.51 | $1.0k |
| 10-23 00:01 | Patriots vs. Bears | BUY | 0.6 | $4.2k |
| 10-22 01:49 | Warriors vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.68 | $3.4k |
| 10-20 23:05 | 76ers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.63 | $1.3k |
| 10-20 22:31 | 76ers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.62 | $1.2k |
| 10-19 20:39 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.1k |
| 10-12 03:28 | Ravens vs. Falcons | BUY | 0.52 | $4.0k |
| 10-11 20:14 | 49ers vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.42 | $2.1k |
| 10-05 07:05 | Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.002 | $80.00 |
| 10-04 21:54 | Chiefs vs. Raiders | BUY | 0.55 | $4.1k |
| 10-04 00:21 | UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.35 | $3.1k |
| 09-28 22:57 | Eagles vs. Bears | BUY | 0.64 | $4.9k |
| 09-20 00:48 | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.42 | $2.9k |
| 08-17 09:09 | Will Enes Kanter Freedom be drafted in the 2027 WNBA Draft? | BUY | 0.94 | $3.3k |